This discussion on ‘The Abstractionism of probability” is perhaps one of the first in the world to be discussed publicly. It has to be understood that, this discussion has evolved out of various other discussions with mathematicians, philosophers, doctors and engineers and many other participants including rappers, mainstream musicians, artists, actors and actresses. Filmmakers where never touched. Because this was the subject matter for a documentary, to keep its serenity and purity, no filmmakers of any kind were interviewed. The film is in the making. Please read on.
From time immemorial, probability theory has been in existence. Having its origin close to mathematics and many a times being discussed along side mathematics, the subject matter has been of great importance to the financial industry. As many giant thinkers have stated, with time, concepts changes, with time, philosophies changes, with time, crap changes to meaningful terms such as the insanity of Galileo Galili who claimed that earth is round during the 17th century and when he was imprisoned. Through the bars of the prison, as he looked at the solar eclipse, it is believed that he lost his eyesight. This earth is not flat, was an insane statement, that eventually turned into the greatest facts world will ever live with. Many mathematicians, physicists and astronomers and what not, have all juggled with probability theories. Times-a-changin. Now, with #bigdata in perspectives, probability has taken a whole different meaning. But times-a-changin.
“In faith there is enough light for those who want to believe and enough shadows to blind those who don’t. Blaise Pascal “
The genius Pascal himself, who had provided scientific interpretations in the early periods of the origin of probability has quoted on time. Nothing is a constant. Yeah! I know about change and that is not the subject. What is abstract is probability talks about the percentage of occurrence of an event. I don’t need to define it. You know what this means.. or please check the wikipedia. So what the above really means is, there is a more likelihood of rain today.
What this means today, in a world of predictability is, that the coin tossed can be either a heads or tails. Nothing more than that.
This mind game, has driven mathematicians and philosophers equally towards its fanciness and its nature of attracting inquisitive minds. Having its nature close to numbers and mathematical formulas, it has driven more people closer towards it.
A detailed look at history and its origin reveals that, many mathematicians, philosophers and physicists have even formed equations as an attempt to drive closer to predictability of futuristic happenings as I derive it.
Probability theories have always been related to futuristic happenings or occurrence. Let us look at the most common example of probability. It describes about a tossed coin. It says, the probability of having the coin falling on head or tails is 50%. In today’s modern cognitive thought process this has no meaning. Given the tremendous possibilities of linear and non-linear nature of flow of occurrences or simply happenings, probability theories take a step down and has only a negligible amount of wisdom that can be attained on analytics; analytics of any nature. However, getting rid of probability theories can mean “another cave man born yesterday”. For this purpose and for the purpose of mankind and for the sake of sanity, and of all, for the sake of history and time that analytical minds have come through, and for the man’s thought process that has evolved, let us give it an appropriate place in the universe and call it.. a step prior to actual predictability or futuristic occurrence.